Toowong vs Mount Gravatt Hawks SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
STO
2 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TOO
5 - 1
GAP
91%
7%
3%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
TOO
5 - 0
WES
89%
8%
4%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOO
15%
18%
68%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
GEO
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 1
MGH
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 4
MGH
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
ALB
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 0
MGH
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |