Tondela vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TON
1 - 0
GFC
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 2
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
TON
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 2
SCP
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |