Tondela vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
TON
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
TON
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
TON
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 2
TON
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
GFC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
MAR
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
PAÇ
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BEL
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
PAÇ
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |