Tondela vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
TON
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
TON
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TON
1 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FEI
0 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 3
VST
47%
24%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 4
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |