Tondela vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
TON
0 - 3
GFC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 2
TON
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
TON
82%
14%
4%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
3 - 1
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 0
MOR
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
GFC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |