Tombense vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
TOM
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
TOM
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
JAC
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
TOM
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 1
VOL
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
ALT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 2
MAN
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
VOL
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAY
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |