Tombense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 1
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
UBE
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 3
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOM
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 5
BOA
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
AME
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 0
MAC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |