Tombense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
ATM
10%
21%
70%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
TOM
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
IFC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
TOM
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
DEM
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAL
88%
10%
3%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
CAL
64%
23%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
REA
17%
26%
58%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |