Toluca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MER
6 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MER
4 - 4
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MER
6 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
ALT
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |