Toluca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 2
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
5 - 1
MON
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
3 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LOB
1 - 4
CAZ
27%
27%
45%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LOB
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LOB
0 - 3
TIG
16%
25%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
LOB
0 - 4
PUE
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |