Toluca vs Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATS
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
JAG
3 - 3
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ATS
0 - 0
JAG
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
PAC
5 - 1
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 2
MON
37%
25%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |