Copa MX . Last 16
Global 4-4
Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
2 - 1
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 1
ATS
75%
16%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
2 - 1
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
0 - 1
PUE
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ATS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
5 - 2
ATS
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |