Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
TIG
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 3
EST
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAC
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
EST
3 - 2
JAG
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |