Toluca vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
TOL
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
RES
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
PRI
1 - 1
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 1
OLI
26%
28%
47%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
RJU
69%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |