Liga MX Sub 18 - Clausura round 17

Toluca U19 vs Cruz Azul U19 analysis

Toluca U19 Cruz Azul U19
47 ELO 44
-12.2% Tilt -8.2%
4907º General ELO ranking 6213º
79º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Toluca U19
23.8%
Draw
19.6%
Cruz Azul U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
Cruz Azul U19
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U19
+6%
-8%
Cruz Azul U19

ELO progression

Toluca U19
Cruz Azul U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
ATL
Atl. San Luis U19
2 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
26%
26%
48%
49 40 9 0
13 Apr. 2024
AME
América U19
1 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
43%
25%
32%
49 46 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
TOL
Toluca U19
3 - 1
Atlas FC U19
ATL
55%
25%
21%
48 44 4 +1
30 Mar. 2024
PAC
Pachuca U19
3 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
44%
25%
31%
49 47 2 -1
16 Mar. 2024
TOL
Toluca U19
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM U19
PUM
44%
26%
29%
48 48 0 +1

Matches

Cruz Azul U19
Cruz Azul U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
2 - 1
Atlas FC U19
ATL
39%
27%
34%
42 43 1 0
12 Apr. 2024
PUE
Puebla U19
2 - 0
Cruz Azul U19
CRZ
24%
22%
54%
44 31 13 -2
06 Apr. 2024
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
1 - 0
Monterrey U19
MON
18%
25%
57%
42 53 11 +2
30 Mar. 2024
PUM
Pumas UNAM U19
1 - 1
Cruz Azul U19
CRZ
56%
24%
20%
42 48 6 0
16 Mar. 2024
CRZ
Cruz Azul U19
1 - 1
Necaxa U19
NEX
28%
26%
46%
41 46 5 +1