Toluca Premier vs Real Cuautitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UAP
4 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IRA
2 - 2
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 4
AEM
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RCU
2 - 1
ATL
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAC
4 - 0
RCU
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 2
CAZ
18%
24%
57%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 0
RCU
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RCU
1 - 3
QUE
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |