Tolosa CF vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
LON
39%
29%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZAR
1 - 0
TOL
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
CDU
23%
27%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SDA
2 - 0
TOL
67%
21%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GER
2 - 2
UDS
58%
25%
18%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POR
4 - 1
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GER
0 - 2
BAS
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GER
2 - 1
LAU
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GER
26%
28%
47%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |