CD Toledo B vs Villa CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 3
TOL
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
AZU
53%
24%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CFA
0 - 0
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
TOL
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
ADS
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
CFA
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |