Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
THE
0 - 1
TOK
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 1
YOK
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOK
2 - 1
TOK
36%
25%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOK
4 - 1
TOC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAG
2 - 0
TOK
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 1
AVI
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 2
KYO
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
VEN
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
TOC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |