TOGB vs Hillegersberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VUC
1 - 1
TOG
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOG
2 - 1
OLY
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TOG
3 - 1
RKS
43%
21%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOG
0 - 0
MAG
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +10 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NIE
4 - 0
TOG
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hillegersberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VVH
1 - 6
TAC
45%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RKS
4 - 0
VVH
65%
18%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VVH
2 - 0
VUC
6%
12%
82%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | +5 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
DOS
1 - 1
VVH
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |