TOGB vs ROAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 1
TOG
23%
21%
55%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RKS
2 - 1
TOG
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TOG
1 - 1
TAC
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SVD
0 - 1
TOG
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TOG
1 - 0
DEL
46%
21%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 1
VLI
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
ROA
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 3
RKS
25%
20%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
ROA
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ROA
2 - 0
VVH
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |