TOGB vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OJC
2 - 2
TOG
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
3 - 3
MEE
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
2 - 2
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
3 - 1
NUE
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VOC
1 - 3
ORI
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 0
ORI
81%
14%
6%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ORI
3 - 0
VOO
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ORI
2 - 1
RKH
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |