TOGB vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
53.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VVE
2 - 1
TOG
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 2
RKA
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HBS
1 - 2
TOG
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 1
TAC
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SJC
2 - 6
TOG
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 3
ALC
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALP
0 - 3
SJC
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VVE
2 - 5
ALP
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALP
5 - 1
VOC
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SDO
1 - 1
ALP
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |