Toen FS vs Sande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 2
TOE
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TOE
1 - 4
ABO
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
TOE
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOE
3 - 0
RAN
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LOB
2 - 4
TOE
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
RAN
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LOB
5 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 3
ALL
50%
22%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUT
1 - 1
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |