Toen FS vs Raio Alaricano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOE
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOE
4 - 0
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOE
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TOE
2 - 1
ABO
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOE
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Raio Alaricano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAL
0 - 0
PAD
41%
25%
34%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RAN
0 - 3
RAL
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RAL
0 - 0
LOÑ
38%
25%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MEL
5 - 0
RAL
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RAL
2 - 1
FRA
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |