Tochigi vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOC
2 - 2
TOK
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 0
TOC
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
VEN
21%
28%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
KAA
3 - 0
TOC
83%
12%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
THE
3 - 0
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
OIT
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
THE
1 - 1
EHI
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
THE
2 - 2
TOK
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |