Tochigi vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOC
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
JUB
12%
23%
65%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 1
TOC
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 3
OMI
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KYO
2 - 0
TOC
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
THE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
MON
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 0
MON
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EHI
0 - 4
MON
20%
26%
55%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |