Tochigi vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
RYK
4 - 2
TOC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 1
TOC
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 2
GIR
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUB
3 - 2
TOC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
TOC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
ZWE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAT
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
SAG
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 2
MAT
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
THE
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |