Tochigi vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 1
TOC
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOK
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
TOC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
GRU
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FCY
0 - 2
TOC
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 0
KYO
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
URA
2 - 2
KYO
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
KYO
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
KYO
0 - 1
SHO
45%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
KYO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |