Tochigi Uva vs Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
73.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 3
NAR
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MIO
3 - 2
TOC
83%
13%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
URA
2 - 0
TOC
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
4 - 0
FAG
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 3
VER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HON
4 - 1
OSA
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 2
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
OSA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
OSA
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | +1 |