Tocha vs Febres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
TOC
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 1
ANC
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EIR
1 - 0
TOC
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 3
PAM
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 0
TOC
11%
19%
70%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Febres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 2
FEB
8%
16%
76%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FEB
2 - 1
VIM
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
FEB
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
6 - 0
FEB
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FEB
1 - 1
ADN
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |