TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
KAL
3 - 1
TJK
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TJK
21 - 0
SNT
90%
7%
3%
|
60 | 5 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KUR
1 - 1
TJK
24%
23%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 2
TJK
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 4
TJK
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
KUR
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 4
FLO
7%
14%
79%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VJK
3 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRA
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 4
TJK
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |