TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
TAL
3 - 0
TJK
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 0
JOH
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
WAR
2 - 2
TJK
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
RAK
3 - 4
TJK
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 3
FLO
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
RAK
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEV
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
KIV
4 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |