Tividale vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tividale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
TIV
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
TIV
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
TIV
1 - 1
SUT
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TIV
2 - 0
LIN
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TIV
2 - 1
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
TIV
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RAI
0 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRE
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RFC
1 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |