Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A. Jor. 6

Tirsense vs Marítimo II analysis

Tirsense Marítimo II
39 ELO 41
-24.3% Tilt -14.5%
6010º General ELO ranking 5691º
108º Country ELO ranking 97º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Tirsense
26.3%
Draw
44.8%
Marítimo II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
Tirsense
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.8%
Win probability
Marítimo II
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tirsense
-4%
-17%
Marítimo II

Points and table prediction

Tirsense
Their league position
Marítimo II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
35
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Os Limianos
45
45
100%
Pevidém
44
44
100%
Tirsense
43
43
100%
Camacha
38
38
100%
Brito SC
38
38
100%
Marítimo II
35
35
100%
Vila Real
35
35
0%
Os Sandinenses
35
35
0%
Dumiense FC
35
35
100%
Montalegre
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Vilar de Perdizes
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Portosantense
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Mirandela
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Ribeirão
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tirsense
Marítimo II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Tirsense
Marítimo II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tirsense
Tirsense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
CAM
Camacha
2 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
45%
27%
29%
38 38 0 0
24 Sep. 2023
ACD
Recreativa de Lamelas
1 - 3
Tirsense
TIR
13%
17%
70%
38 10 28 0
17 Sep. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
3 - 1
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
60%
21%
19%
37 28 9 +1
03 Sep. 2023
MIR
Mirandela
1 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
27%
26%
47%
37 32 5 0
27 Aug. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
1 - 0
Dumiense FC
DUM
52%
23%
25%
36 32 4 +1

Matches

Marítimo II
Marítimo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
MAR
Marítimo II
2 - 1
Montalegre
MON
66%
20%
14%
41 33 8 0
17 Sep. 2023
BRI
Brito SC
1 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
11%
16%
74%
41 22 19 0
03 Sep. 2023
MAR
Marítimo II
3 - 1
Portosantense
POR
71%
16%
13%
41 30 11 0
27 Aug. 2023
PEV
Pevidém
2 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
33%
26%
41%
42 38 4 -1
20 Aug. 2023
CAM
Camacha
2 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
30%
26%
44%
42 38 4 0
X