Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A. Jor. 19

Tirsense vs Brito SC analysis

Tirsense Brito SC
37 ELO 27
-22.9% Tilt -20.9%
5857º General ELO ranking 7326º
106º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
65.5%
Tirsense
19.4%
Draw
15.1%
Brito SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
Tirsense
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
Brito SC
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tirsense
-3%
+35%
Brito SC

Points and table prediction

Tirsense
Their league position
Brito SC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
35
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Amarante
51
51
57.5%
Vianense
50
51
57.5%
Pevidém
43
46
89%
Tirsense
44
44
89%
Vila Meã
39
39
100%
Vilar de Perdizes
35
36
82%
Brito SC
35
35
82%
Dumiense FC
31
34
68%
Merelinense
30
33
68%
Pedras Salgadas
10º
29
30
10º
76%
AR São Martinho
13º
24
27
11º
14%
Monção
11º
26
27
12º
17%
Maria da Fonte
12º
25
25
13º
49%
Braganca
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tirsense
Brito SC
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Tirsense
Brito SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tirsense
Tirsense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
SMA
AR São Martinho
1 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
46%
27%
27%
38 38 0 0
05 Feb. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
1 - 1
Vila Meã
VIL
62%
21%
18%
38 31 7 0
29 Jan. 2023
VIA
Vianense
0 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
40%
26%
34%
37 36 1 +1
22 Jan. 2023
MON
Monção
1 - 4
Tirsense
TIR
19%
22%
59%
36 21 15 +1
15 Jan. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
0 - 2
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
77%
15%
8%
36 20 16 0

Matches

Brito SC
Brito SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
BRI
Brito SC
0 - 0
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
42%
23%
35%
27 27 0 0
05 Feb. 2023
MER
Merelinense
1 - 2
Brito SC
BRI
58%
21%
21%
26 32 6 +1
29 Jan. 2023
BRI
Brito SC
0 - 0
Pedras Salgadas
PED
32%
24%
44%
25 32 7 +1
22 Jan. 2023
AMA
Amarante
0 - 0
Brito SC
BRI
78%
14%
9%
24 40 16 +1
15 Jan. 2023
BRI
Brito SC
1 - 0
Braganca
BRA
57%
21%
21%
24 21 3 0
X