Tineo vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tineo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
TIN
59%
23%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TIN
2 - 4
LEN
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
TIN
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TIN
2 - 0
AND
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 4
TIN
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
UOB
28%
25%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
3 - 0
NAR
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
COM
46%
26%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
URR
1 - 1
NAR
70%
17%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 0
RIB
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |