Timok vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ČUK
2 - 1
TIM
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
TIM
0 - 1
NAP
17%
27%
56%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JED
0 - 0
TIM
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TIM
2 - 0
TEL
35%
29%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 1
TIM
62%
25%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 3
MET
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
MLA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
MET
42%
31%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
INI
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |