Tilbury vs Northwood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
ILF
1 - 2
TIL
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POT
4 - 3
TIL
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 5
WAR
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
5 - 0
TIL
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 2
AVE
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 3
ARL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 3
NOR
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ILF
2 - 2
NOR
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
ENF
2 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 0
EDT
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |