Tilbury vs Frenford FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAF
2 - 0
TIL
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
TIL
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 3
WOT
33%
24%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TIL
4 - 0
ESS
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TIL
1 - 1
BAR
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Frenford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FFC
3 - 3
SAF
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 0
HUL
23%
21%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
FFC
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
FFC
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 3
GRE
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |