Tikves vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
SIL
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
FKS
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 1
SIL
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
MAK
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |