Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TIG
1 - 1
ATS
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TIG
1 - 1
JUA
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAZ
0 - 2
TIG
45%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 0
AUR
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
LEO
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAZ
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |