CONCACAF Champions Cup . Last 16
Global 5-4
Tigres UANL vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIG
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
TIG
30%
28%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
TIG
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
TIG
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
12%
23%
65%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 0
FAS
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |