Tierra Firme vs River Plate David analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
OES
0 - 0
TIE
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
TIE
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
TIE
0 - 2
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TIE
0 - 0
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
7 - 1
TIE
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
SUN
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 0
RIV
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 4
OES
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |