Tierra Firme vs Río Abajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TIE
3 - 0
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
TIE
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
3 - 3
TIE
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TIE
4 - 1
NYC
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TIE
1 - 2
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 3
NYC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
COS
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIO
45%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |