Tierra Firme vs Río Abajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
TIE
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TIE
0 - 0
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 2
TIE
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 3
SUN
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 0
RIV
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
OES
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIV
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
RIO
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |