FA Cup . Last 16

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Guangzhou FC analysis

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Guangzhou FC
69 ELO 81
-6% Tilt 9.9%
1302º General ELO ranking 3494º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
24.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
24.6%
Draw
50.5%
Guangzhou FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.5%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
+10%
-26%
Guangzhou FC

ELO progression

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Guangzhou FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2016
SHA
Shanghái Port
1 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
59%
22%
20%
70 77 7 0
18 Jun. 2016
HEB
Hebei FC
1 - 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
47%
27%
27%
70 69 1 0
14 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
64%
20%
16%
71 80 9 -1
11 Jun. 2016
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 - 0
Yanbian Longding
YAN
60%
24%
17%
70 61 9 +1
27 May. 2016
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
2 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
51%
24%
26%
70 73 3 0

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Jiangsu FC
JIA
65%
20%
15%
80 74 6 0
18 Jun. 2016
YAN
Yanbian Longding
1 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
15%
23%
62%
80 60 20 0
14 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
64%
20%
16%
80 71 9 0
11 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
79%
13%
8%
80 67 13 0
29 May. 2016
GUA
Guangzhou FC
1 - 1
Shanghái Port
SHA
58%
22%
20%
80 78 2 0
X