Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.5%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
7%
16%
77%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 0
THU
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
1 - 3
DES
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
7%
16%
77%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
WSA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SPR
2 - 0
WSA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
WSA
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |