Thun vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
THU
2 - 5
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 2
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
THU
3 - 0
FCV
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
THU
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 2
KRI
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
YVE
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 4
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
YVE
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 2
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |