Thun vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 3
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
THU
3 - 2
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
THU
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 0
YVE
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 0
WIN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIN
23%
22%
56%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |